Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.162348 3.653023 4.196528 4.843545 5.593333 6.435527 7.454237
2024-10-20 2.465721 3.094476 3.851639 4.831994 6.070077 7.584837 9.583815
2024-10-27 1.885392 2.541434 3.390577 4.573158 6.182769 8.304857 11.328019
2024-11-03 1.619428 2.327924 3.306592 4.762532 6.883683 9.877200 14.451259
2024-11-10 1.435771 2.187664 3.289378 5.029839 7.727954 11.780677 18.385217
2024-11-17 1.253367 2.013124 3.187509 5.146997 8.361721 13.473838 22.312542
2024-11-24 1.085823 1.829937 3.037701 5.156369 8.817906 14.954533 26.160743
2024-12-01 0.916053 1.612986 2.795712 4.967750 8.905032 15.830232 29.130445
2024-12-08 0.774634 1.420242 2.561884 4.749354 8.894167 16.519161 31.868463
2024-12-15 0.699178 1.332430 2.497215 4.821811 9.418126 18.247629 36.848122
2024-12-22 0.611783 1.208302 2.346254 4.704747 9.556389 19.259538 40.586534
2024-12-29 0.581270 1.189136 2.391127 4.977039 10.508924 22.023200 48.420746
2025-01-05 0.537028 1.138561 2.372231 5.129076 11.267021 24.574970 56.431893
2025-01-12 0.487020 1.068378 2.303019 5.164395 11.784294 26.712085 63.967798
2025-01-19 0.420515 0.952236 2.118766 4.915775 11.623100 27.314613 68.039268
2025-01-26 0.397866 0.930614 2.138860 5.138501 12.601296 30.732404 79.723641
2025-02-02 0.382172 0.922568 2.188485 5.440024 13.826084 34.969080 94.406613
2025-02-09 0.357236 0.888457 2.171550 5.575082 14.658127 38.378647 107.625464
2025-02-16 0.328207 0.839687 2.111550 5.590353 15.181617 41.085581 119.486747
2025-02-23 0.291529 0.765799 1.977588 5.388522 15.083973 42.108131 126.723521
2025-03-02 0.257857 0.694609 1.839830 5.152991 14.849586 42.706312 132.819038
2025-03-09 0.241690 0.668082 1.816264 5.232961 15.537749 46.078725 148.258575
2025-03-16 0.218833 0.619639 1.726049 5.106373 15.592507 47.592345 158.094483